📊 September 2025 Housing Market Snapshot – London & St. Thomas
The fall market is off to an interesting start! In September, the London and St. Thomas area saw 1,701 new listings, up 13.7% compared to last year — and up from 1,532 new listings in August. That means more homes for buyers to choose from!
At the same time, there were 534 home sales, a 6% drop from last year and down from 700 sales in August. With new listings outpacing sales, the sales-to-new listings ratio slipped to 31.4% (down from 45.7% in August), putting our market firmly in buyer’s territory.
LSTAR Chair Dale Marsh notes that when this ratio dips below 45%, it typically signals a buyer’s market — meaning more supply, less competition, and more negotiating power for those looking to purchase.
The average home price in September was $622,805, down from $651,329 in August and 2.7% lower than a year ago. The benchmark home price, which tracks trends more accurately, also saw a slight decline month-over-month to $562,300 (↓1.8%).
Here’s how the different areas stacked up in September:
London North: $685,943 average
London South: $634,874 average
London East: $503,296 average
Middlesex Centre: $937,538 average
St. Thomas: $558,707 average
With six months of inventory now available (up from five in August), buyers have more breathing room to explore their options. And with the Bank of Canada’s recent rate cut — the first since March — some buyers who’ve been waiting on the sidelines may start re-entering the market.
Prices haven’t collapsed — they’ve just softened and become less volatile. Sellers may feel more pressure to price carefully and highlight differentiators (condition, upgrades) to stand out. Buyers are benefiting from more choices and less intense competition than in the market peaks.
If you’ve been thinking about buying, this fall could offer the right mix of more selection and easing borrowing costs. And for sellers, pricing strategically and standing out with strong marketing are key to success in this more balanced landscape.
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🏦 What is happening with interest rates?
On September 17, 2025, the Bank of Canada cut its policy (overnight) rate by 25 basis points, bringing it down from 2.75% to 2.50%.
This was the first rate cut since March 2025.
The Bank cited softening economic conditions, less upward pressure on inflation, and risks from trade tensions as part of the rationale for easing now.
đź’° What This Means for Buyers
- The recent rate cut means borrowing just got a little cheaper. If you’re getting a variable-rate mortgage or renewing soon, your payments could go down slightly.
- For those planning to buy, this change can help boost your buying power and make monthly payments a bit more manageable. It may also bring more competition from other buyers who were waiting for rates to drop, so acting sooner rather than later could be smart.
- In short — homes haven’t gotten cheaper, but money has.
🏠What This Means for Sellers
Lower interest rates can help bring more buyers back into the market, which is good news if you’re thinking about selling. As borrowing becomes a bit easier, more people may start house hunting again — leading to more showings and potentially quicker sales.
That said, buyers are still price-conscious, so it’s important to price your home competitively and make sure it stands out with great photos, staging, and marketing.
In short — more buyers are looking, but they’re still shopping smart.
📅 What’s Next — When to Watch
The next Bank of Canada rate decision is scheduled for October 29, 2025.
Rate announcements occur eight times per year, typically every 6–7 weeks.
So, keep an eye on late October — that’s when the Bank will reassess economic data, inflation pressures, and global risks to decide whether further cuts, holds, or even increases are warranted.